Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.338293 0.401057 0.471109 0.554929 0.652329 0.761770 0.893884
2025-02-09 0.252636 0.336003 0.439032 0.575017 0.748990 0.963241 1.246122
2025-02-16 0.195882 0.283955 0.401355 0.567851 0.796181 1.096347 1.518454
2025-02-23 0.153975 0.240235 0.362832 0.547493 0.815753 1.187821 1.738562
2025-03-02 0.122217 0.203769 0.326535 0.521621 0.819765 1.253073 1.923573
2025-03-09 0.108154 0.190971 0.321955 0.539821 0.887366 1.412679 2.256193
2025-03-16 0.089427 0.167125 0.296138 0.520510 0.893627 1.479305 2.453670
2025-03-23 0.079889 0.157020 0.290712 0.532501 0.949418 1.625613 2.785437
2025-03-30 0.071534 0.147515 0.284686 0.542088 1.001239 1.768968 3.123576
2025-04-06 0.062391 0.134949 0.271323 0.536672 1.025957 1.868657 3.396805
2025-04-13 0.054841 0.124192 0.259668 0.532529 1.051713 1.971208 3.681992
2025-04-20 0.050835 0.119988 0.259836 0.550320 1.118666 2.150361 4.113798
2025-04-27 0.050966 0.124917 0.279236 0.608816 1.270007 2.496997 4.879632
2025-05-04 0.047374 0.121102 0.280421 0.631315 1.354948 2.730692 5.461682
2025-05-11 0.041649 0.111369 0.267731 0.623525 1.378903 2.851915 5.844108
2025-05-18 0.035652 0.099857 0.249445 0.601330 1.370771 2.910160 6.110483
2025-05-25 0.030132 0.088457 0.229668 0.573114 1.346527 2.933758 6.310068
2025-06-01 0.028298 0.086297 0.231138 0.592964 1.427140 3.174082 6.958266
2025-06-08 0.024377 0.077732 0.215886 0.571902 1.415297 3.223225 7.222102
2025-06-15 0.022691 0.075115 0.215018 0.584981 1.481345 3.440110 7.847549
2025-06-22 0.021037 0.072282 0.213192 0.595435 1.542241 3.650546 8.474560
2025-06-29 0.018852 0.067413 0.205276 0.589530 1.563841 3.776912 8.930644
2025-07-06 0.016969 0.063107 0.198253 0.585011 1.588187 3.911005 9.412989